Created by moo, contribute on GitHub
This calculator is designed to allow for extending it's ability as Valve releases more information. The form that is provided collects as much data as possible, and is ready for collecting order confirmation emails too. If anyone has their own data they have collected please contribute it, or let me know! If you are a developer, or have an algo you want to add, please contribute!
Disclaimer: This is an estimator. It creates magic numbers out of thin air. Assume the magic numbers are wrong. But copium is addicting!
Orders are sent on a weekly basis. Each batch of emails will be on Mondays except launch day (source)
Release was Feb 25th 10am est.
Moo's method attempts to simulate the number of deck orders each minute and Valve's throughput of decks each day. Then it calculates the estimated ship date based on throughput each day. It supports almost any date, but is most accurate for the first day of orders and the 512GB model due to that being where most of the sample data is. This algo also generates a lot of cool data, like orders over time, how many units will ship each month, etc... TODO extract and display the data.
Gecked's method interpolates estimated dates in the sample data. This means it does not support After Q2 dates.
Abyzma's method randomly selects a date within your quarter